šŸ‘Øā€āš–ļø Markets Jump 2% After Trump's Tariffs Ruled 'Illegal' (US)

Plus, Salesforce drops 5% after earnings, Meta to open stores, and the 'TACO' trade in the spotlight...

TOP STORY
šŸ‘Øā€āš–ļø Markets Jump 2% After Trump's Tariffs Ruled 'Illegal'

šŸ˜… Just when I think we’re done talking about Trump’s tariffs, some other major news happens that’s too important not to cover…

šŸ§‘ā€āš–ļø This week, to the markets’ surprise, a three-judge panel for the US Court of International Trade ruled Trump’s tariffs illegal, causing the markets to jump:

  • The S&P 500 is up +2.2% this week, bringing us back in the green year-to-date (+0.74%)

  • The Nasdaq-100 is up +2.6% this week, now at +1.7% year-to-date

🌮 And amid all the market whiplash, a new tariff-inspired investing strategy called the ā€˜TACO trade’ is making headlines.

šŸ—žļø So before we talk about some of the other interesting news this week - from Salesforce ($CRM) falling 5% after earnings to Trump Media ($DJT) raising $2.5B to buy cryptocurrencies, let’s TACO-bout the tariffs and what the judge’s ruling might mean for the markets 😜

P.S. If you’re wondering why I’m not talking about Nvidia’s earnings, it’s cause I covered it already on Thursday! Here’s the link in case you missed it!

āŒ Trump’s Emergency Tariffs Struck Down by Judge

šŸ¤” So, how is it possible that a judge could even strike down the tariffs in the first place?

šŸ‘€ Well, it’s actually not normal for the President to set blanket tariff policies the way Trump has been doing. Under Article I, Section 8, it's actually the US Congress that has the explicit power to ā€œlay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises.ā€

🚨 The way Trump got around this was by invoking emergency law, saying that the nation’s ā€œlarge and persistentā€ annual trade deficits were ā€œan unusual and extraordinary threatā€ to national security and the economy.

šŸ‘Ž The judges disagree with Trump, saying his executive orders crossed the line and that ā€œtrade deficits aren’t an emergency.ā€

😬 What Does This Mean for the Stock Market? More Uncertainty…

šŸ“Š Now, whether you agree with the judges’ ruling or not, what does this mean for the stock market?

Well, with the federal appeals court temporarily reinstating most of the tariffs - there is little direct impact on tariffs for now, but the main result is really just more uncertainty, making it difficult for companies and investors to plan ahead, with Jonathan Gold, the VP of the US National Retail Federation, saying:

ā

"The ruling by the U.S. Court of International Trade blocking most of President Trump's tariffs is just another chapter in this difficult journey toward a clear, consistent and strategic trade policy"

Jonathan Gold, VP of the US National Retail Federation

šŸ‘Š The Trump administration has vowed to fight the ruling all the way to the Supreme Court and has stated that the ruling hasn’t interfered with the negotiations with key trading partners in the weeks ahead.

😰 While the markets are up this week, it’s unclear whether the judge’s ruling is actually good news.

šŸ“ˆ The markets have been soaring (up 19% now since the tariff crash) after Trump’s tariff pauses fueled hope that the US can strike trade deals before the pause is over, but as popular stock market commentator Jim Cramer puts it:

ā

ā€œEven if you believe in fair trade you have to wonder how we’re going to get any meaningful deals now that our trading partners know the courts might invalidate the whole tariff agendaā€

Jim Cramer

šŸ¤ž Fingers Crossed for a Quick Resolution

Uncertainty is bad for business, so the worst outcome for investors would be a long, drawn-out process in the courts.

For long-term ETF investors, this news probably shouldn’t change your strategy at all, but for folks holding stocks it’s worth keeping an eye on as the outcome could certaintly have a strong impact on company’s heavily exposed to the tariffs (i.e. Apple, which got pummeled last week after Trump threatened a 25% tariff on non-US made iPhones)

Alright, enough tariff-talk for now - let’s switch gears to some of the other big news this week. But first, a quick word from today’s sponsor State Street Global Advisors!

PRESENTED BY STATE STREET
ā­ļø DIA: Global Reach, 30 Stocks, One ETF

šŸ“ˆ SPDRĀ® Dow JonesĀ® Industrial Averageā„  ETF Trust (DIA) the Dow Jones Industrial Average (ā€œthe Dowā€), an index composed of 30 ā€œblue-chipā€ US stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is the oldest continuous index with tracking history going back to 1896.$^1$ DIA adds to the heritage of the longest running index, as it is the first and only unlevered ETF to track the Dow in the United States.$^2$

šŸ˜ Iconic Brands. DIA’s constituents represent firms with well-known reputations, sustained growth, and a broad appeal to investors.$^3$ In fact, 16 of the 30 firms within DIA are recognized as one of the top 50 Most Valuable Brands by Forbes, with six firms also in the Top 10.$^4$

šŸ’ø Global Revenue. DIA’s 30 companies in the Dow Jones, although US domiciled, represent a revenue stream far more diverse than one might think. DIA’s constituents have revenue streams coming from 172 countries with over 35% of revenue streams coming from outside the United States.$^5$ This is an incredibly diverse set of holdings that span 160 industry revenue segments.$^6$

šŸŒ For investors looking for global exposure without the direct risk of investing in foreign firms, the SPDRĀ® Dow JonesĀ® Industrial Averageā„  ETF Trust may help achieve that goal.

(1) S&P Global Indices, spglobal.com (2) Bloomberg Finance L.P., as of February 5, 2025. (3) S&P Global Indices spglobal.com (4) Forbes, The World's Most Valuable Brands List (5) FactSet as of December 31, 2024 (6) FactSet as of December 31, 2024

*See Important Risk Information at the end of the newsletter!

ALSO IN THE NEWS
šŸ—žļø Other Key Headlines this Week

šŸ“‰ Salesforce Drops 5% Despite ā€˜Not Bad’ Earnings

  • Salesforce ($CRM) announced earnings on Wednesday, with Q1 revenue of $9.83 billion and earnings per share of $2.58, beating analyst expectations.

  • Despite this, the stock fell -5% and is now down -20% year-to-date amid fears that ā€œgrowth is not going to accelerateā€ and that ā€œgrowth is uninspiringā€ with some analysts downgrading the stock.

  • This comes right after Salesforce disclosed its $8B acquisition of Informatica, in a major move to strengthen its AI and data infrastructure capabilities.

  • Amid the drop, some analysts beleive the stock is undervalued, pointing out its 7.1x price-to-sales ratio and 27x price-to-earnings ratio.

  • On Blossom, buying outweighed selling with 140 members buying the stock this week compared to only 49 selling.

šŸŖ Meta Planning to Open Physical Stores to Showcase Quest VR and Smart Glasses

  • Based on a leaked internal memo, Meta ($META) is exploring a global rollout of physical retail stores to promote its growing line of hardware, including Quest VR headsets and Ray-Ban smart glasses.

  • Meta’s smart glasses sold 1 million units last year, which Mark Zuckerberg says is a "great start" but is "not going to move the needle and the business in a core way."

  • Despite this, Meta plans to launch a half-dozen more AI wearables as Google launches its own smart glasses, and Open AI is expected to make its own entry into the market after acquiring former Apple design chief Jony Ive's startup to build ā€œa new type of device for the AI era.ā€

šŸ¤‘ Trump Media Falls 12% After Plans to Spend $2.5B on Cryptocurrencies

  • Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) confirmed it plans to sell $1.5B in stock and issue $1B in convertible notes to purchase bitcoin in ā€œone of the largest bitcoin treasury deals of any public company.ā€

  • The move mirrors MicroStrategy’s ($MSTR) approach, but DJT’s fundamentals remain weak: Q1 revenue was under $1M with a $31.7M net loss (which is insanely low for a company valued at nearly $5B).

  • The stock dropped 12% following the announcement, as investors reacted to the dilution and questioned the strategy's viability.

🌮 The ā€˜TACO’ Trade Makes Headlines As Investors Make the Bet that ā€˜Trump Always Chickens Out’

  • The ā€œTACOā€ trade, short for ā€œTrump Always Chickens Outā€, has made headlines as an investing strategy based on President Trump's pattern of announcing steep tariffs and then delaying or reversing them following market backlash.

  • The term gained prominence after Trump proposed a 50% tariff on European Union goods, causing markets to drop, only to postpone the tariffs days later, leading to a 741-point rebound in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

  • President Trump has dismissed the ā€œTACOā€ label, calling it a ā€œnasty questionā€ when asked by reporters.

šŸ Canadian Banks Report Earnings, Raising Dividends and Reporting Growth

  • TD Bank (TD) beat expectations with $4B in profit and a 2% dividend hike, helped by stronger capital markets and lower loan-loss provisions.

  • RBC (RY) reported $3.95B in net income, up 7% year-over-year, driven by higher interest income and strong performance in wealth management.

  • Scotiabank (BNS) posted $2.22B in earnings, up 4%, and raised its dividend by 3%, supported by growth in international banking.

  • All three banks flagged higher expenses tied to technology investments and regulatory compliance, but stable credit conditions and dividend hikes show the banks are weathering the trade war so far

  • ZEB, the Equal Weight Bank Index ETF, is up +7.6% this month and +22% over the past year.

COOL NEW TOOL
šŸ“Š Public Launches Generated Assets

šŸŽ As many of you know, we have a cool partnership with Public.com where if you create a Public account and link it to Blossom you get 1-year of Blossom PRO for free!

ā­ļø Well, in addition to all their other powerful features (like 6.9% locked-in yield), Public just launched a pretty crazy new AI feature where you can essentially create your own ETF based on a prompt. I tried asking it for an ETF that would benefit from the ā€˜TACO trade’ strategy and here’s what it gave me!

šŸ˜Ž It’s pretty fun to play around with, and I think on Public you can even directly buy your new ETF directly if you have an account (which you can create here with the Blossom link). Pretty cool new innovation in the investing space, haven’t seen anything like it before!

FROM THE BLOSSOM COMMUNITY
ā­ļø Featured Discussions this Week

šŸ‘‡ Click to see the full post! Unfortunately the links are broken right now for the web app so they’ll only work on mobile 😢

State Street Global Advisors Important Risk Information

Investing involves risk including the risk of loss of principal.

ETFs trade like stocks, are subject to investment risk, fluctuate in market value and may trade at prices above or below the ETFs net asset value. Brokerage commissions and ETF expenses will reduce returns.

Distributor: State Street Global Advisors Funds Distributors, LLC, member FINRASIPC, an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of State Street Corporation. References to State Street may include State Street Corporation and its affiliates. Certain State Street affiliates provide services and receive fees from the SPDR ETFs. ALPS Distributors, Inc., member FINRA, is the distributor for DIA, MDY and SPY, all unit investment trusts. ALPS Portfolio Solutions Distributor, Inc., member FINRA, is the distributor for Select Sector SPDRs. ALPS Distributors, Inc. and ALPS Portfolio Solutions Distributor, Inc. are not affiliated with State Street Global Advisors Funds Distributors, LLC.

Before investing, consider the funds’ investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. To obtain a prospectus or summary prospectus which contains this and other information, call 866.787.2257 or visit ssga.com. Read it carefully.

Not FDIC Insured No Bank Guarantee May Lose Value

Adtrax**:** 7900880.1.1.AM.RTL DIA000723

Expiration: 05/31/26