📈 Meta Jumps 20% on Earnings

Plus, Microsoft, Apple, Google, and Amazon announce earnings...

TOP STORY
📈 Meta Jumps 20% After Most Profitable Quarter Ever

Meta’s stock rocketed over 20% after posting its most profitable quarter ever. The company’s single-day market cap jump of $200B was the highest ever in stock market history 🤯

📊 Earnings by the Numbers

Zuck’s ‘Year of Efficiency’ is clearly paying off, with cost cuts driving record profits of $39B in 2023. Here are some of the key figures:

  •  Revenue: +25%

  •  Earnings: +203%

  •  Costs: -8%

  •  Headcount: -22%

  •  Daily Active Users: +6%

This profit growth, driven by strong ad sales and a rebound in user growth, put Q4 results well above analyst estimates (over 10% to be exact!)

🤖 AI in Full Focus

With over $65B cash in the bank, Meta has a big bag of money to spend, and the Zuck left no mystery about where they’ll be spending it.

Moving forward, a major goal will be building the most popular and and most advanced AI products and services. If we succeed, everyone who uses our services will have a world-class AI assistant to get things done.

- The Zuck

To make this happen, Meta plans to spend billions on AI chips from Nvidia, aiming to have 350,000 H100 graphic cards by the end of 2024.

This focus on AI is a big shift from the Metaverse obsession which dominated the discussion in 2021, when Facebook changed its name to Meta.

👓 The Metaverse Is Still An Item

While Zuck made it clear that “AI will be the biggest investment area in 2024”, the Metaverse wasn’t completely left out of the picture with Zuck saying the company made a lot of progress in 2023.

The division lost another $4.65B this year but beat expectations on revenue - topping $1.07B compared to the expected $812B. Meta announced that they “expect operating losses from Reality Labs to increase meaningfully year-over-year.”

Some analysts expect Apple’s Vision Pro headset may re-ignite interest in the technology, giving a boost to Meta in the process.

💸 Meta Announces It’s First Dividend

Maybe one of the most surprising parts of Meta’s earnings call was the announcement of its first-ever dividend - at $0.50 per share every quarter (~0.4% yield).

Meta’s CFO Susan Li said the dividend ‘gives flexibility in how Meta returns capital'. Dividends also signal management confidence about the future.

📈 Analysts Raise Targets

Overall, if it wasn’t obvious from the 20% stock price jump, investors were happy with Meta’s Q4 results.

"The company is firing on all cylinders and continues to hammer home the notion that this will be a more efficient and leaner organization going forward”

- Stifel Analyst Mark Kelley

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    • $HDIV will rise by 7% to $0.151/unit

1. An estimate of the annualized yield an investor would receive if the most recent distribution remained unchanged for the next 12 months, stated as a percentage of the price per unit on January 31, 2024; 2. As at January 31, 2024; 3. Annualized; 4. Subject to fees of the underlying ETFs held in the portfolios.

BIG TECH EARNINGS
📈 Amazon and Microsoft Up, 📉 Google and Apple Down

Meta wasn’t the only company to report earnings this week, Apple, Amazon, Google, and Microsoft also joined the party with varied results:

  • 📉 Apple down 3.2%

  • 📉 Google down 6.6%

  • 📈 Microsoft up 1.28%

  • 📈 Amazon up 7.9%

Let’s dive into the highlights…

🍎 Apple: Weaker iPhone Outlook & Struggles in China

  •  Revenue: $119.58 billion vs. $117.91 billion expected 

  •  Earnings per share: $2.18 vs. $2.10 expected 

Apple is an interesting one - with the stock falling despite beating both revenue and earnings expectations, but as discussed in last week’s buzz, this is really no surprise, with the following factors at play:

🇨🇳 13% sales decline in China

Once seen as Apple’s biggest growth driver, China has recently been a challenge, with Huawei giving Apple a run for its money.

Huawei lost competitiveness over the last 3 years after US sanctions restricted its access to 5G technology, but this changed last year when Huawei launched the Mate 50 with 5G connectivity.

Economic challenges in the Chinese market, with rock-bottom consumer confidence, are also hurting demand in the market.

📲 iPhone sales dampening

Fears of weakening iPhone sales also put a sour note on earnings, with Apple’s CFO saying they expected iPhone sales in Q1 would be similar to last year’s.

With over 50% of Apple’s revenue coming from the iPhone, any slow-down in sales would be a major blow.

☀️ Optimistic Notes: AI & Vision Pro

While a lot of the coverage on Apple focused on the negatives, there are two shining areas to keep an eye on in 2024: AI & the Vision Pro.

While exactly what Apple is working on has remained mysterious, many analysts anticipate that AI-powered capabilities in the new iPhone may accelerate the upgrade rate.

The other silver lining for Apple this week was the launch of the Vision Pro, which hit the market on Friday and was met with glowing reviews from techies on Twitter, with many agreeing that it lived up to the hype.

🔍 Google: Stock Tumbles After Disappointing Ad Revenue

  •  Revenue: $86.3 billion vs. $85.2 billion expected 

  •  Earnings per share: $1.64 vs. $1.61 expected 

Like Apple, Google’s stock fell despite beating both revenue and earnings with investors focusing heavily on disappointing ad revenues.

📢 Ad Revenue Falls Short of Estimates

While ad revenue still grew 11% to $65.52 billion, this fell just below estimates of $65.82 billion.

In contrast, Google’s company's cloud revenue grew 25% to $9.19 billion.

♊️ Google’s ‘Gemini’ Era

AI dominated the earnings calls of Big Tech and Google was no exception, with Alphabet’s CEO dubbing it the ‘Gemini Era’ after Google’s large-language model (LLM) that was unveiled in early December.

“Search, Youtube, and Cloud are already benefiting from our AI investments and innovation. As we enter the Gemini era, the best is yet to come”

Sundar Pichai, Alphabet CEO

☁️ Microsoft: Profits in the Cloud

  •  Revenue: $62 billion vs. $61 billion expected 

  •  Earnings per share: $2.93 vs. $2.77 expected 

Microsoft blew past expectations with earnings 6% higher than analyst estimates, driven by strong revenue growth in all business lines:

  • ☁️ Azure Cloud: +20%

  • 💻 Personal Computing: +19%

  • 📝 Productivity/Business: +13%

☁️ Growth from the Cloud

Microsoft’s Azure Cloud (which competes with Amazon’s AWS and Google Cloud) was the shining star of earnings.

Microsoft is slated to ‘increase spend materially’ on investments in cloud and AI infrastructure, signaling ‘a line of sight to a significant increase in cloud revenue’ according to Bernstein analyst Moerdler.

📈 Cloud x AI = More Profits?

For the non-techies reading, the ‘cloud’ essentially powers every app/website on the internet (including Blossom which runs on Amazon’s AWS cloud). It provides on-demand data storage, computing power, and more.

In addition to the direct benefit AI has on Microsoft Office Products - it will also benefit the Azure cloud, as Microsoft can apply the learnings from adding AI in its own apps to Azure, building a more compelling offering for companies to choose it over Google Cloud and AWS.

“By infusing AI across every layer of our tech stack, we’re winning new customers and helping drive new benefits and productivity gains across every sector”

- CEO Satya Nadella.

📢 Amazon: Advertising Revenue Leads the Charge

  •  Revenue: $169.9 billion vs. $166.2 billion expected 

  •  Earnings per share: $1.00 vs. $0.78 expected 

Amazon was the second biggest winner out of Big Tech, jumping nearly 8% this week after crushing revenue and earnings and signaling optimism for the year ahead.

🏆 Advertising is the biggest winner

  • 📢 Ad Revenue: +27%

  • ☁️ AWS Cloud: +13%

While AWS Cloud showed a slowdown in growth (+13% compared to +20% the year prior), advertising made up for it with 27% growth with ads in Prime Video content projected to drive substantial new revenue.

🔪 Amazon Follows Meta in ‘Year of Efficiency’

Like Meta, Amazon’s push to rein in costs is paying off, laying off 27,000 employees between late-2022 and mid-2023.

🤖 Don’t forget about AI

It wouldn’t be a 2024 earnings call without mentioning AI, and Amazon has a few tricks up its sleeve:

  • 🐶 Rufus: Amazon’s new shopping assistant Rufus, a generative AI-powered shopping assistant, is rolling out soon.

  • ☁️ Cloud: Like Microsoft, Amazon sees potential for AI to generate billions for its cloud business since AI tools require huge amounts of data and processing power.

And that wraps Big Tech earnings!!! 😅 I hope you enjoyed this summary as much as I (Max) enjoyed diving into each of the reports 😊

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