📈 Nvidia Posts Massive 262% Revenue Growth

CEO calls it "The Next Industrial Revolution"...

TOP STORY
🚀 Nvidia Jumps 7% After Earnings, CEO Calls it the “Next Industrial Revolution”

😰 Investors held their breath yesterday as Nvidia reported earnings…

The recent AI boom has been a massive driver for the entire market, and Nvidia, who provides the GPUs, aka the ‘shovels to the gold rush’ for every big tech player, is a strong signal of whether the good times will continue or if trouble is ahead…

📈 Well, with the stock price up 7% this morning, you can probably guess it was good news!

Whether you hold Nvidia or not, their success/failure is basically driving all of tech right now, so let’s unpack the earnings and what it means for the broader market…

💡 On Blossom, Nvidia is the #5 most held stock in the US and the #25 most held stock in Canada with nearly 3,000 holders.

🏭 Nvidia CEO Calls it “The Next Industrial Revolution”

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Showing Off His Nvidia Tattoo

Nvidia’s CEO Jensen Huang hit us with some BOLD claims yesterday, signaling no signs of Nvidia slowing down anytime soon:

  • 🏭 “The next industrial revolution has begun”

  • 🌎 “Companies and Countries are partnering with NVIDIA to produce a new commodity, artificial intelligence

  • 🚀 “We are poised for our next wave of growth

But did he have the numbers to back it up?

📊 Nvidia Revenue Up 262% Year over Year

Analysts were already quite optimistic about Nvidia, but it’s earnings surpassed even their expectations:

Revenue: $26 Billion

  • Up 18% from last quarter

  • Up 262% from last year

  • 5.6% higher than analyst expectations

  • 87% of revenue is now coming from AI-driven ‘Data Center’ revenue (only 60% of revenue a year ago)

Earnings per share: $6.12

  • Up 19% from last quarter

  • Up 461% from last year

  • 9.5% higher than analyst expectations

As we know, earnings are only one piece of the puzzle, and a company’s future outlook is a HUGE driver of investor reactions.

On that front, Nvidia projected Q2 revenue of $28.0 billion, plus or minus 2%. While this ~8% projected growth is a slowdown from the 18% growth this quarter, it demonstrates that Nvidia believes the massive jump in the last few quarters is here to stay.

💡 Nvidia also annouced a 10-1 stock split taking effect June 10 which means every share will turn into 10 shares and the stock price will also be cut by 1/10th.

🚀 Is There Still Room to Grow?

With Nvidia stock up 2,212% in the past 5 years, a big question for Nvidia is if there is still room to grow.

Nvidia seems to think so and focused on two key growth drivers in the earning announcement:

🤖 AI Expanding to More Industries

  • While cloud service providers like Amazon, Microsoft, and Google continue to drive strong growth (making up 40% of Data Center revenue), Huang pointed out that generative AI has expanded to consumer, enterprise, sovereign AI, automotive, and healthcare customers, creating multiple multibillion-dollar vertical markets.

👷‍♀️ New Product Development and R&D

🫧 Bubble or Not a Bubble, That is The Question…

Some analysts have been calling ‘bubble’ on Nvidia and AI for over a year now.

🤑 So, with all these impressive growth numbers, should we all just dump every dollar we own into Nvidia and watch it take us to the moon?

Well, no - let’s quickly talk about the risks. Analysts and pundits have been calling Nvidia (and AI in general) a ‘bubble’ for over a year now, drawing parallels to Cisco during the dot-com bubble.

And just because Nvidia has continued to surge doesn’t mean they’re wrong. For 5 years during the dot-com bubble, Cisco surged 6000% from ~$2 per share to ~$80 per share before plummeting down all the way back to $9.5. Since then, Cisco has never surpassed its all-time highs in the past 24 years.

But there’s a key number in that dot-com analogy: 6 years

Even if you believed the dot-com was a bubble during the run-up, it’s very difficult to know when (or if) that bubble will pop, and at the end of the day, the dot-com companies like Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon did go on to generate massive returns over the past 25 years and ultimately re-shape the world.

"The generative AI stock bubble isn't popping anytime soon, the dot-com bubble burst after about five years while we're less than two years into the AI era.

Peter Cohan, Senior Forbes Contributor

👀 Stock price has gone up, but Nvidia has actually gotten ‘cheaper’

The most notable difference between Nvidia and Cisco is at its peak, Cisco traded at 200x price to earnings, and Nvidia is currently trading at 50-60x (based on a trailing 12 months to include this quarter).

Nvidia’s price-earnings ratio did hit over 200x from May to August 2023, but with the massive earnings growth in the previous few quarters, it’s fallen significantly, meaning the stock is technically ‘cheaper’ than it was a year ago based on this metric (despite the stock price rising 200%).

All and all, a LOT to unpack, but whether you think Nvidia is a buy/sell will ultimately depend on if (or how long) the AI hype will continue.

🌼 Can’t wait to read your thoughts on Blossom!!

💡 There are already TONS of incredible posts breaking down and discussing Nvidia’s earnings on Blossom. Just go to the $NVDA stock page to join the discussion!

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